Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.233720 0.265114 0.298661 0.337122 0.379938 0.426079 0.479506
2025-10-05 0.193481 0.235899 0.284121 0.342792 0.412033 0.490918 0.587360
2025-10-12 0.167183 0.216762 0.276148 0.352078 0.446094 0.558158 0.701272
2025-10-19 0.144522 0.197982 0.265060 0.354650 0.470308 0.613632 0.803592
2025-10-26 0.129330 0.186094 0.260314 0.363315 0.501201 0.677890 0.919630
2025-11-02 0.117434 0.176729 0.257214 0.372824 0.532685 0.743693 1.040553
2025-11-09 0.103982 0.163389 0.246966 0.371014 0.547855 0.787833 1.134313
2025-11-16 0.093061 0.152290 0.238456 0.370291 0.563592 0.832642 1.230366
2025-11-23 0.083519 0.142086 0.230047 0.368547 0.577044 0.874184 1.323135
2025-11-30 0.077746 0.137020 0.228648 0.376697 0.604881 0.936978 1.448535
2025-12-07 0.070790 0.129261 0.222288 0.376497 0.619762 0.981174 1.548488
2025-12-14 0.064690 0.122239 0.216376 0.376295 0.634207 1.024919 1.649223
2025-12-21 0.059067 0.115600 0.210727 0.376391 0.649584 1.071612 1.758021
2025-12-28 0.055253 0.111744 0.209338 0.383255 0.675998 1.136398 1.897440
2026-01-04 0.052417 0.109357 0.210199 0.393821 0.708872 1.212662 2.057996
2026-01-11 0.048654 0.104820 0.206864 0.396819 0.729148 1.269596 2.190261
2026-01-18 0.046216 0.102566 0.207380 0.406475 0.761026 1.346497 2.357591
2026-01-25 0.044095 0.100708 0.208422 0.417024 0.794850 1.427885 2.535374
2026-02-01 0.040550 0.095566 0.202856 0.415044 0.806451 1.472563 2.654207
2026-02-08 0.037485 0.091089 0.198160 0.414255 0.819936 1.520745 2.780524
2026-02-15 0.034576 0.086626 0.193097 0.412332 0.831086 1.565162 2.901933
2026-02-22 0.033060 0.085077 0.193714 0.421341 0.862678 1.646188 3.088951
2026-03-01 0.030746 0.081464 0.189803 0.421122 0.876892 1.697071 3.225434